Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Bonino 44.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 58.9%
Defensive zone
Fraser 72.6%
Neutral zone
Fraser 69.3%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Fraser
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Fraser
Bonino
Last 7: Fraser 6-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
3
1
Fraser
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
43.3% (423)
+5.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
45.5% (22)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
20.0% (5)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Fraser has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Bonino is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Fraser
Bonino
Home
49.7% (189)
44.1% (222)
Away
44.8% (181)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Fraser
Bonino
P1
44.6%
43.9%
P2
48.1%
43.4%
P3
49.1%
41.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |