Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.8%). Look for Fraser on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Fraser wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.8% vs Bonino 47.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 53.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.0%
Neutral zone
Fraser 54.8%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Fraser
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Bonino
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
3
2
Fraser
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (160)
48.4% (246)
-2.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
37.5% (32)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
41.2% (17)
+8.8%
On power play, Fraser has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Fraser is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Fraser shoots left. Bonino is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Fraser
Bonino
Home
49.5% (95)
53.3% (122)
Away
42.5% (73)
42.2% (173)
By Period
Fraser
Bonino
P1
42.6%
48.4%
P2
48.1%
44.3%
P3
49.1%
47.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |