Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 77.4%
Defensive zone
Fraser 60.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Fraser
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Getzlaf
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
45.7% (900)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
49.7% (197)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
38.8% (49)
-3.9%
On power play, Fraser has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Fraser is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Fraser shoots left. Getzlaf is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Fraser
Getzlaf
Home
47.1% (293)
48.0% (548)
Away
41.7% (259)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Fraser
Getzlaf
P1
46.3%
43.3%
P2
43.1%
51.1%
P3
44.7%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |