Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Nichol 58.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Fraser 82.2%
Defensive zone
Fraser 81.0%
Neutral zone
Fraser 77.9%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Fraser
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Fraser
Nichol
Last 10: Fraser 5-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Fraser
Nichol
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
4
Fraser
Nichol
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Fraser
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
59.0% (948)
-11.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
42.9% (14)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
59.5% (185)
-23.7%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Fraser shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Fraser
Nichol
Home
48.6% (661)
59.7% (576)
Away
44.0% (602)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Fraser
Nichol
P1
46.7%
58.4%
P2
46.4%
57.3%
P3
46.2%
61.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |