Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Nichol 56.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 54.4%
Defensive zone
Fraser 51.9%
Neutral zone
Fraser 51.1%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Fraser
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Fraser
Nichol
Last 6: Fraser 3-3 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fraser
Nichol
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Fraser
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Nichol
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
58.0% (371)
-9.2%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
57.3% (75)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Fraser is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Fraser shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Fraser
Nichol
Home
49.7% (189)
58.6% (215)
Away
44.8% (181)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Fraser
Nichol
P1
44.6%
56.1%
P2
48.1%
58.4%
P3
49.1%
57.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |