Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.8% vs Nichol 57.2% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 70.0%
Defensive zone
Nichol 58.5%
Neutral zone
Fraser 59.3%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Fraser
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fraser
Nichol
Last 5: Fraser 2-3 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Fraser
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Fraser
Nichol
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (160)
61.7% (183)
-16.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (3)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
59.4% (32)
-9.4%
On power play, Fraser has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Fraser is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Fraser shoots left. Nichol is 67.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Fraser
Nichol
Home
49.5% (95)
69.6% (115)
Away
42.5% (73)
50.5% (103)
By Period
Fraser
Nichol
P1
42.6%
64.1%
P2
48.1%
52.7%
P3
49.1%
64.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |