Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Wandell 44.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wandell 51.3%
Defensive zone
Fraser 65.1%
Neutral zone
Fraser 61.6%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Fraser
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Fraser
Wandell
Last 9: Fraser 5-4 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Wandell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
3
4
Fraser
Wandell
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
42.9% (791)
+5.1%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
51.3% (39)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
42.1% (38)
-6.3%
On power play, Fraser has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Wandell is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Fraser
Wandell
Home
48.6% (661)
41.2% (413)
Away
44.0% (602)
45.3% (457)
By Period
Fraser
Wandell
P1
46.7%
45.1%
P2
46.4%
41.2%
P3
46.2%
44.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |