Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Wandell 45.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 56.5%
Defensive zone
Fraser 60.5%
Neutral zone
Fraser 55.4%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Fraser
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Wandell
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Wandell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
2
Fraser
Wandell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
43.1% (297)
+5.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
35.7% (14)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
61.5% (13)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Wandell has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Wandell is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Fraser
Wandell
Home
49.7% (189)
39.5% (152)
Away
44.8% (181)
47.1% (172)
By Period
Fraser
Wandell
P1
44.6%
49.6%
P2
48.1%
35.3%
P3
49.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |