Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.8%
Defensive zone
Fraser 50.2%
Neutral zone
Fraser 50.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Fraser
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
48.4% (4,954)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
57.4% (376)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
39.9% (554)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Fraser
Gourde
Home
48.6% (661)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
44.0% (602)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Fraser
Gourde
P1
46.7%
49.9%
P2
46.4%
47.4%
P3
46.2%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%