Scouting Report
Colin Greening holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greening 46.6% vs Marner 43.1% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Marner 51.6%
Defensive zone
Marner 56.6%
Neutral zone
Marner 54.4%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Greening
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greening
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (150)
42.2% (462)
+2.5%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
55.6% (18)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (42)
35.4% (65)
-2.1%
On power play, Greening has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Greening is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Greening shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Greening
Marner
Home
47.1% (104)
38.2% (293)
Away
43.2% (118)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Greening
Marner
P1
40.3%
39.1%
P2
48.1%
41.1%
P3
45.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
38.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greening
54.0%▲
44.5%
45.0%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%