Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). White wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Backes 50.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 82.7%
Defensive zone
White 81.4%
Neutral zone
White 80.9%
Result
Colin White favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
White
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
White
Backes
Last 7: White 1-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
5
White
Backes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
White
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
51.1% (5,772)
-6.5%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
50.8% (1,082)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
47.4% (930)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. White is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (680).
White shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
White
Backes
Home
46.2% (1,138)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
White
Backes
P1
45.9%
50.1%
P2
44.6%
51.5%
P3
45.3%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Colin White |