Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). White wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Larkin 52.7% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
White 50.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
White
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
White
Larkin
Last 10: White 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
White
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
White
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: White
3
2
White
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
51.7% (9,019)
-7.1%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
58.5% (2,125)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
50.2% (1,122)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. White is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
White shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
White
Larkin
Home
46.2% (1,138)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
White
Larkin
P1
45.9%
52.7%
P2
44.6%
53.1%
P3
45.3%
52.1%
OT
33.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |