Scouting Report
Colin White holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for White on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). White wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Hughes 36.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 51.9%
Defensive zone
White 86.2%
Neutral zone
White 77.9%
Result
Colin White favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
White
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
White
Hughes
Last 6: White 4-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
White
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: White
2
0
White
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: White
2
1
White
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
35.9% (2,772)
+8.7%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
39.0% (223)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
31.0% (42)
+6.5%
On power play, White has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. White is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
White shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
White
Hughes
Home
46.2% (1,138)
36.7% (1,596)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
35.3% (1,441)
By Period
White
Hughes
P1
45.9%
36.3%
P2
44.6%
33.7%
P3
45.3%
38.3%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin White |