Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). White wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Spezza 54.7% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
White 80.7%
Defensive zone
White 75.5%
Neutral zone
White 78.7%
Result
Colin White favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
White
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
White
Spezza
Last 10: White 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
2
1
White
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
White
Spezza
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
White
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
54.4% (7,990)
-9.8%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
56.8% (1,726)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
52.7% (643)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. White is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (680).
White shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
White
Spezza
Home
46.2% (1,138)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
White
Spezza
P1
45.9%
55.7%
P2
44.6%
54.4%
P3
45.3%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |