Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). White wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Thornton 54.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 63.5%
Defensive zone
White 63.1%
Neutral zone
White 63.5%
Result
Colin White favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
White
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
White
Thornton
Last 9: White 3-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
White
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
White
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
White
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
53.5% (6,640)
-8.9%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
57.2% (1,387)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
56.7% (427)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. White is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
White shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
White
Thornton
Home
46.2% (1,138)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
White
Thornton
P1
45.9%
55.0%
P2
44.6%
53.3%
P3
45.3%
54.4%
OT
33.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |