Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). White wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 47.7% vs Thornton 52.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 67.5%
Defensive zone
White 67.9%
Neutral zone
White 66.6%
Result
Colin White favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
White
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
White
Thornton
Last 7: White 2-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
White
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
White
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (687)
52.5% (638)
-6.4%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
57.1% (35)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
50.0% (2)
-2.6%
On even strength, Thornton has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. White is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
White shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
White
Thornton
Home
47.8% (410)
54.8% (341)
Away
47.0% (389)
50.6% (334)
By Period
White
Thornton
P1
44.5%
55.2%
P2
47.9%
56.5%
P3
49.8%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
47.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |