Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). White wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 86.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 67.7%
Neutral zone
White 69.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
White
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
White
Kastelic
Last 6: White 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
White
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
White
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
57.0% (1,613)
-12.4%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
80.0% (25)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
53.6% (274)
-16.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. White is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (680).
White shoots right. Kastelic is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
White
Kastelic
Home
46.2% (1,138)
58.9% (895)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
White
Kastelic
P1
45.9%
58.5%
P2
44.6%
56.9%
P3
45.3%
55.3%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |