Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for White on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). White wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Backlund 49.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
White leads 23-16 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 64.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 72.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
White
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
16
(39 meetings)
23
16
White
Backlund
Last 10: White 9-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
10
7
White
Backlund
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: White
8
4
White
Backlund
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
White
Backlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
49.7% (13,410)
-5.1%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
51.6% (1,336)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
44.0% (2,446)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. White is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
White shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
White
Backlund
Home
46.2% (1,138)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
White
Backlund
P1
45.9%
48.5%
P2
44.6%
50.3%
P3
45.3%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Colin White |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Colin White |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Colin White |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Colin White |