Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Wilson 48.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 75.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.4%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Smith
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Smith
Wilson
Last 7: Smith 4-3 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
0
2
Smith
Wilson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Wilson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Wilson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
47.1% (312)
+5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
63.3% (30)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
0.0% (1)
+35.2%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots left. Smith is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Smith shoots right. Wilson is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Smith
Wilson
Home
50.3% (181)
44.4% (160)
Away
51.2% (213)
51.9% (183)
By Period
Smith
Wilson
P1
54.2%
49.2%
P2
44.4%
45.1%
P3
54.2%
50.6%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Ben Smith |