Colin Wilson vs Derek MacKenzie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Wilson leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Wilson 72.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 91.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 67.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Wilson
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Wilson
MacKenzie
Last 10: Wilson 5-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
5
0
Wilson
MacKenzie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
6
Wilson
MacKenzie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
0
Wilson
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
54.9% (3,660)
-9.9%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
55.9% (102)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.7% (1,158)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Wilson
MacKenzie
Home
46.1% (531)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
46.1% (564)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Wilson
MacKenzie
P1
46.6%
51.9%
P2
43.2%
53.0%
P3
48.8%
54.0%
OT
45.5%
65.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |