Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Wilson wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.2% vs Stoll 57.0% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 81.2%
Defensive zone
Stoll 74.0%
Neutral zone
Wilson 65.8%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Wilson
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wilson
Stoll
Last 5: Wilson 2-3 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Wilson
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (125)
56.6% (987)
-11.0%
Power Play
49.0% (102)
64.3% (126)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
58.1% (179)
+41.9%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Wilson is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Wilson shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Wilson
Stoll
Home
47.3% (110)
58.6% (662)
Away
47.5% (118)
56.3% (648)
By Period
Wilson
Stoll
P1
56.7%
58.1%
P2
37.2%
56.4%
P3
51.4%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.4%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |