Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Beagle 56.7% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 83.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 71.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 63.4%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Wilson
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Wilson
Beagle
Last 9: Wilson 5-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Wilson
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
1
Wilson
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
57.5% (4,994)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
60.5% (119)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
54.2% (1,554)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Wilson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Wilson shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Wilson
Beagle
Home
46.1% (531)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
46.1% (564)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Wilson
Beagle
P1
46.6%
57.4%
P2
43.2%
57.1%
P3
48.8%
56.2%
OT
45.5%
41.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |