Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 51.2% vs Beagle 57.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 95.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 80.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Wilson
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Wilson
Beagle
Last 6: Wilson 5-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
0
Wilson
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (79)
60.3% (735)
-13.5%
Power Play
62.9% (35)
42.9% (7)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.9% (256)
+46.1%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Wilson is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Wilson shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Wilson
Beagle
Home
52.3% (65)
61.9% (475)
Away
52.0% (50)
55.4% (523)
By Period
Wilson
Beagle
P1
45.9%
60.5%
P2
45.9%
54.4%
P3
65.0%
61.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
52.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |