Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs McClement 52.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 87.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 88.6%
Neutral zone
McClement 53.1%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Wilson
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Wilson
McClement
Last 8: Wilson 4-4 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
2
Wilson
McClement
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Wilson
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
54.4% (4,305)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
62.5% (104)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.2% (1,440)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Wilson
McClement
Home
46.1% (531)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
46.1% (564)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Wilson
McClement
P1
46.6%
53.5%
P2
43.2%
52.0%
P3
48.8%
53.2%
OT
45.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |