Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.2% vs McClement 51.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 74.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 92.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 55.6%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Wilson
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Wilson
McClement
Last 6: Wilson 4-2 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
0
Wilson
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Wilson
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (125)
52.4% (802)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.0% (102)
73.9% (23)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.1% (314)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Wilson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Wilson shoots left. McClement is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Home / Away
Wilson
McClement
Home
47.3% (110)
57.6% (519)
Away
47.5% (118)
46.8% (633)
By Period
Wilson
McClement
P1
56.7%
55.3%
P2
37.2%
51.7%
P3
51.4%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.4%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |