Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Turris 50.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 76.1%
Defensive zone
Wilson 57.5%
Neutral zone
Wilson 62.7%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Wilson
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wilson
Turris
Last 7: Wilson 2-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Wilson
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Wilson
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
49.5% (1,083)
-2.4%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
55.1% (156)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.7% (190)
-53.7%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Wilson is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Wilson shoots left. Turris is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Home / Away
Wilson
Turris
Home
44.4% (160)
53.6% (703)
Away
51.9% (183)
47.8% (726)
By Period
Wilson
Turris
P1
49.2%
54.3%
P2
45.1%
48.3%
P3
50.6%
49.1%
OT
62.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |