Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Handzus 51.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Wilson 84.0%
Defensive zone
Handzus 64.1%
Neutral zone
Wilson 64.4%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Wilson
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Wilson
Handzus
Last 10: Wilson 5-5 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
1
Wilson
Handzus
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
5
Wilson
Handzus
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wilson
Handzus
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
51.5% (2,438)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
58.0% (286)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.3% (471)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Handzus has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Home / Away
Wilson
Handzus
Home
46.1% (531)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
46.1% (564)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Wilson
Handzus
P1
46.6%
52.5%
P2
43.2%
53.7%
P3
48.8%
48.4%
OT
45.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |