Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.0%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.2% vs Backlund 48.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 76.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.8%
Neutral zone
Wilson 57.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Wilson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wilson
Backlund
Last 6: Wilson 2-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Wilson
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Wilson
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (125)
48.9% (568)
-3.3%
Power Play
49.0% (102)
52.3% (44)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
32.7% (49)
+67.3%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +67.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Wilson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Wilson shoots left. Backlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Wilson
Backlund
Home
47.3% (110)
50.8% (327)
Away
47.5% (118)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Wilson
Backlund
P1
56.7%
53.0%
P2
37.2%
47.8%
P3
51.4%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |