Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Thompson 52.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Wilson 94.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.3%
Neutral zone
Wilson 76.8%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Wilson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Wilson
Thompson
Last 10: Wilson 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
1
Wilson
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Wilson
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Wilson
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
54.1% (5,812)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
54.8% (135)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.9% (1,381)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Wilson
Thompson
Home
46.1% (531)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
46.1% (564)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Wilson
Thompson
P1
46.6%
53.2%
P2
43.2%
52.9%
P3
48.8%
52.8%
OT
45.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |