Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 51.2% vs Thompson 55.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 93.1%
Defensive zone
Wilson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Wilson 78.2%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Wilson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Wilson
Thompson
Last 7: Wilson 1-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Wilson
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Wilson
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Wilson
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (79)
57.7% (482)
-10.9%
Power Play
62.9% (35)
100.0% (2)
-37.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.9% (154)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Wilson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Wilson shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Wilson
Thompson
Home
52.3% (65)
59.0% (327)
Away
52.0% (50)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Wilson
Thompson
P1
45.9%
54.2%
P2
45.9%
61.3%
P3
65.0%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
52.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |