Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 87.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 65.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Wilson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Wilson
Bjugstad
Last 6: Wilson 5-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
5
0
Wilson
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Wilson
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
48.6% (6,566)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
55.2% (828)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.1% (612)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Wilson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Wilson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,695).
Home / Away
Wilson
Bjugstad
Home
46.1% (531)
50.0% (3,981)
Away
46.1% (564)
48.0% (4,025)
By Period
Wilson
Bjugstad
P1
46.6%
49.1%
P2
43.2%
49.0%
P3
48.8%
48.4%
OT
45.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |