Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wilson wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 43.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 66.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 84.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 72.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Wilson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wilson
Bjugstad
Last 5: Wilson 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
4
0
Wilson
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Wilson
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (157)
47.3% (806)
-5.3%
Power Play
26.3% (19)
55.0% (149)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
59.0% (39)
-59.0%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Wilson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Wilson shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Wilson
Bjugstad
Home
39.0% (77)
55.4% (446)
Away
40.6% (101)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Wilson
Bjugstad
P1
35.4%
49.4%
P2
40.0%
48.1%
P3
41.9%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
39.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |