Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.6%). Look for Wilson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Berglund 47.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 51.7%
Defensive zone
Berglund 66.2%
Neutral zone
Berglund 63.1%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Wilson
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Wilson
Berglund
Last 8: Wilson 6-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
4
1
Wilson
Berglund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
47.7% (641)
-0.6%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
59.7% (67)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
36.0% (75)
-36.0%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Wilson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Wilson shoots left. Berglund is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Wilson
Berglund
Home
44.4% (160)
50.2% (422)
Away
51.9% (183)
44.6% (361)
By Period
Wilson
Berglund
P1
49.2%
43.8%
P2
45.1%
46.3%
P3
50.6%
53.1%
OT
62.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |