Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 49.0%). Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Wilson wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Getzlaf 49.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wilson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 56.0%
Neutral zone
Wilson 56.9%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Wilson
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Wilson
Getzlaf
Last 10: Wilson 2-8 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
1
Wilson
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
6
Wilson
Getzlaf
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
49.5% (1,086)
-2.4%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
57.0% (93)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.5% (232)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Wilson is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Wilson shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Home / Away
Wilson
Getzlaf
Home
44.4% (160)
53.0% (664)
Away
51.9% (183)
45.5% (747)
By Period
Wilson
Getzlaf
P1
49.2%
48.4%
P2
45.1%
51.7%
P3
50.6%
46.1%
OT
62.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |