Scouting Report
Colin Wilson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Matthias 43.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 59.4%
Defensive zone
Matthias 71.2%
Neutral zone
Matthias 60.8%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Wilson
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wilson
Matthias
Last 5: Wilson 2-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
3
Wilson
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
41.3% (358)
+5.8%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
62.5% (16)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.4% (59)
-42.4%
On penalty kill, Matthias has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Wilson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Wilson shoots left. Matthias is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Wilson
Matthias
Home
44.4% (160)
48.5% (198)
Away
51.9% (183)
37.0% (235)
By Period
Wilson
Matthias
P1
49.2%
41.9%
P2
45.1%
47.5%
P3
50.6%
37.5%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |