Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Ott 55.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 95.9%
Defensive zone
Wilson 77.5%
Neutral zone
Wilson 84.7%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Wilson
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Wilson
Ott
Last 9: Wilson 1-8 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
3
Wilson
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
5
Wilson
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
57.2% (2,802)
-12.2%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
55.4% (567)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
49.9% (853)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Wilson
Ott
Home
46.1% (531)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
46.1% (564)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Wilson
Ott
P1
46.6%
56.7%
P2
43.2%
53.9%
P3
48.8%
55.7%
OT
45.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Steve Ott |