Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Ott 53.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 86.8%
Defensive zone
Wilson 69.8%
Neutral zone
Wilson 77.7%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Wilson
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Wilson
Ott
Last 6: Wilson 1-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Wilson
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Wilson
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
55.6% (583)
-8.5%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
57.0% (128)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.1% (206)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Wilson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Wilson shoots left. Ott is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Wilson
Ott
Home
44.4% (160)
54.1% (512)
Away
51.9% (183)
53.6% (405)
By Period
Wilson
Ott
P1
49.2%
53.3%
P2
45.1%
52.8%
P3
50.6%
56.1%
OT
62.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |