Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sceviour wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sceviour 46.4% vs Stastny 54.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.8%
Defensive zone
Sceviour 85.9%
Neutral zone
Sceviour 64.8%
Result
Colton Sceviour favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Sceviour
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sceviour
Stastny
Last 8: Sceviour 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Sceviour
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sceviour
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Sceviour
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sceviour
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (121)
53.6% (859)
-11.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.9% (202)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
55.1% (78)
-2.9%
On even strength, Stastny has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sceviour is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Sceviour shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Sceviour
Stastny
Home
49.1% (57)
56.9% (596)
Away
40.7% (91)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Sceviour
Stastny
P1
46.0%
53.9%
P2
41.5%
56.2%
P3
43.9%
54.4%
Final 5 min
61.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sceviour
50.0%▲
45.0%
43.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Colton Sceviour |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Colton Sceviour |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |