Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Sissons 55.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 55.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 93.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 74.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Fantilli
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fantilli
Sissons
Last 8: Fantilli 6-2 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Sissons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Sissons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
57.0% (428)
-7.4%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
58.8% (17)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
54.2% (118)
+0.3%
On even strength, Sissons has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Sissons
Home
50.8% (472)
52.9% (263)
Away
49.2% (480)
59.7% (300)
By Period
Fantilli
Sissons
P1
47.8%
56.3%
P2
52.7%
57.8%
P3
50.0%
55.4%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |