Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Sissons 55.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 78.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 50.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 67.9%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Gaudette
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaudette
Sissons
Last 9: Gaudette 3-6 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
3
Gaudette
Sissons
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
3
Gaudette
Sissons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
57.0% (428)
-11.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
58.8% (17)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
54.2% (118)
-4.2%
On even strength, Sissons has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Sissons is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Sissons
Home
48.4% (91)
52.9% (263)
Away
47.4% (133)
59.7% (300)
By Period
Gaudette
Sissons
P1
45.2%
56.3%
P2
51.9%
57.8%
P3
45.9%
55.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |