Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Larsson 46.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 83.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 94.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 94.9%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Sissons
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Sissons
Larsson
Last 7: Sissons 6-1 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
46.7% (345)
+10.3%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
61.1% (18)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
39.0% (59)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Sissons shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larsson
Home
55.9% (680)
52.1% (167)
Away
55.4% (612)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Sissons
Larsson
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
46.7%
P3
58.4%
42.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |