Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.7% vs Bailey 45.5% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 76.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 79.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Sissons
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Sissons
Bailey
Last 10: Sissons 5-5 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
5
Sissons
Bailey
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
0
Sissons
Bailey
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Bailey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (5,978)
45.8% (1,991)
+9.5%
Power Play
55.2% (449)
48.1% (295)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,849)
39.9% (281)
+8.4%
On even strength, Sissons has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Sissons is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,874).
Sissons shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Sissons
Bailey
Home
54.0% (4,191)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
53.5% (4,085)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Sissons
Bailey
P1
53.7%
46.5%
P2
53.1%
44.8%
P3
54.6%
44.4%
OT
49.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |