Colton Sissons vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.9%
Defensive zone
Sissons 81.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
47.6% (231)
+9.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
83.3% (12)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
33.3% (21)
+20.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.9% (263)
51.2% (164)
Away
59.7% (300)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
57.8%
46.2%
P3
55.4%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |