Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Sissons wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.4% vs Lorentz 50.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 62.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 89.6%
Neutral zone
Sissons 73.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Sissons
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Sissons
Lorentz
Last 10: Sissons 6-4 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
4
Sissons
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
7
2
Sissons
Lorentz
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
7
4
Sissons
Lorentz
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (459)
51.7% (292)
+3.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
40.0% (10)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (126)
42.9% (7)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Sissons shoots right. Lorentz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Sissons
Lorentz
Home
51.0% (296)
52.3% (155)
Away
56.9% (295)
50.0% (154)
By Period
Sissons
Lorentz
P1
55.2%
59.2%
P2
54.5%
50.9%
P3
51.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |