Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +26.2% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Zegras 35.4% (+26.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 54.2%
Defensive zone
Sissons 97.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 91.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Sissons
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sissons
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
29.6% (230)
+27.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
32.1% (56)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
100.0% (1)
-45.8%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Sissons
Zegras
Home
52.9% (263)
30.6% (147)
Away
59.7% (300)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Sissons
Zegras
P1
56.3%
33.0%
P2
57.8%
31.7%
P3
55.4%
25.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |