Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 64.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 90.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 74.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Sissons 5-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
2
Sissons
Ostapchuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
51.7% (300)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
33.3% (3)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
43.6% (55)
+10.6%
On power play, Sissons has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Home
52.9% (263)
49.1% (161)
Away
59.7% (300)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Sissons
Ostapchuk
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
57.8%
45.7%
P3
55.4%
55.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |