Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Beecher 51.9% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 87.1%
Defensive zone
Beecher 79.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 59.2%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Bedard
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bedard
Beecher
Last 8: Bedard 4-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Beecher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Beecher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
3
Bedard
Beecher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
53.2% (978)
-13.1%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
72.7% (11)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
45.9% (218)
+4.1%
On power play, Beecher has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Beecher is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Bedard
Beecher
Home
43.3% (785)
51.9% (551)
Away
38.5% (896)
52.1% (656)
By Period
Bedard
Beecher
P1
39.0%
53.7%
P2
40.7%
48.1%
P3
42.6%
54.3%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Beecher |