Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.7% vs 41.0%). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Adam shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Adam 42.8% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Adam 53.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 56.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 50.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Bedard
Adam
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
40.3% (377)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
50.0% (26)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Adam is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Bedard
Adam
Home
43.3% (785)
44.9% (187)
Away
38.5% (896)
37.6% (218)
By Period
Bedard
Adam
P1
39.0%
42.1%
P2
40.7%
37.9%
P3
42.6%
43.2%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%