Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Danault 54.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 77.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 73.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 75.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Bedard
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Bedard
Danault
Last 10: Bedard 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Bedard
Danault
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
Bedard
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
56.5% (711)
-12.3%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
46.0% (50)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
51.7% (116)
+2.1%
On power play, Bedard has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Bedard
Danault
Home
50.7% (223)
57.0% (379)
Away
42.2% (270)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Bedard
Danault
P1
40.8%
55.8%
P2
48.2%
55.3%
P3
48.0%
54.8%
OT
57.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |