Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Colton 51.0% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 69.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 70.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 75.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Bedard
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Bedard
Colton
Last 10: Bedard 6-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
2
3
Bedard
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
51.6% (1,800)
-11.5%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
48.8% (162)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
34.5% (29)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Bedard
Colton
Home
43.3% (785)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
38.5% (896)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Bedard
Colton
P1
39.0%
53.5%
P2
40.7%
52.6%
P3
42.6%
47.9%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ross Colton |